Hong Kong Stocks

Xiaomi’s current downturn cannot be attributed solely to an “AI spending spree” narrative. Over the past year, the stock price fell steadily from a high of around HKD 60 in July 2025 to HKD 25.84 on June 11, 2026. What is truly difficult is the convergence of three factors: smartphone profits are squeezed by rising storage costs; the auto sector has moved from rapid volume growth to a stage of subsidy tapering and model switching; and AI investments have pushed the market’s patience for free cash flow further into the future.

After Zhipu and MiniMax were included in the Hang Seng Tech Index, the most common question that arises is: Since they have not yet reached their first lock-up period, are index funds compelled to buy shares?

This question cannot be answered directly based on emotion.

Inclusion in the index must first adhere to publicly disclosed methodologies. Delisting will affect future supply and stock price pressure, but it is not a hard threshold within the Hang Seng Tech Index methodology. Passive funds buy before and after the index takes effect because their goal is to track the index, not because the index company is arranging exits for existing shareholders.

Bottom line first.

As of May 20, 2026, the strength of A-shares and the weakness of Hang Seng Tech are not due to one asset pool having lagging components; rather, it is a divergence between two sets of pricing logics. On May 20, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4162.19 points, still fluctuating near 4200; meanwhile, on its most recently available closing date of May 19, 2026, the Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 4857.46 points, which is still short of the phase historical high point of 10945.22 recorded on February 17, 2021, by 55.6%.

If your statement that the “CSI 300 ETF has matched its historical peak” refers to the most common 510300, the closing price I captured on 2026-05-20 was 4.871. This still represents about a 16.1% drawdown from the 5.807 recorded on 2021-02-10, and has not reached an all-time high. It is highly likely that various calculation bases were mixed here: Price, Net Asset Value (NAV), Adjusted NAV, Total Return Index. They look like they are the same thing, but they actually are not.

Allow me to correct a name. The “China Golden Dragon Fish Index” you mentioned usually refers to the Nasdaq Gold Dragon China Index, whose English name is Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, not “Golden Dragon Fish.”

Worrying Mindset: Holding onto stocks persistently, observing calmly like a Buddhist, and paying attention to the fulfillment of “ecosystem premium.”

I. Market Overview: From 2025’s “Mania” to 2026’s “Consolidation”

2025 was a strong year for the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 23.45% throughout the year – its best performance since inception. However, as we entered January 2026, the market transitioned into a clear pattern of “two upward trends and one pullback.”

• Left-side trading is difficult to execute, and right-side trading is also not good. Xiaomi’s buyback, Lei Bao’s (Lei Jun’s) own buyback, caused the stock price to rise sharply, stabilizing above the 40th level. Alibaba’s financial report saw a significant drop in net profit, and the market predicted that the intensity of takeout subsidies would decrease, leading to a large surge in Meituan’s stock price (6%). The capital logic of AI is not closed, it’s not previous business; first grab users, run around, then slowly make money. AI’s continuous costs cannot be reduced – hardware plus electricity.

• Still doing nothing, Xiaomi didn’t fall below my current price level. It has fallen consecutively for two days, and was finally stabilized by a buyback. The US market last night was interesting – it started to rally, but the next day it completely crashed. Today, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are basically worthless.
• At this point, falling so much is actually good; I didn’t continue following the broader market, just laid down and relaxed, waiting for a better opportunity.

Why the Decline

https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759889 Other viewpoints may or may not be correct; quantitative funds are increasingly influencing domestic stock markets. Individual stocks often closely align with index movements. The original text is lengthy, and Bobo (豆包 - a common online nickname) has extracted the core content.

Recently, Xiaomi’s third-quarter financial report was released, with little expectation beyond the usual. The US situation is unsettled, Hong Kong stocks have recently experienced liquidity stagnation, and the Hang Seng Technology Index has retreated significantly.

As a major participant in the food delivery war, Alibaba, which bears the highest e-commerce taxes, hasn’t generated much discussion online.

I don’t remember if I wrote any previous articles, when I bought Xiaomi, I didn’t really think about what supported Xiaomi’s market capitalization at that time – perhaps after watching too many TikTok-related videos?

No trading activity within the venue; we’re currently awaiting next month’s financial reports. Taking a half-day break this afternoon – nothing particularly noteworthy, just wanting to rest and recharge.

Years Have Passed

It’s been a long time since I last watched League of Legends (LOL) matches live, and suddenly it feels like four or five years have passed.

As I’ve mentioned in my previous articles related to games, I always had a complex feeling towards LPL teams (the domestic league). The frequent low-level mistakes made by many players in major tournaments felt lacking in professional demeanor, which significantly reduced the viewing experience – this is why I gradually drifted away.