Position / Layout

Write a wrap-up record to translate investment thinking into text, clarifying one’s thoughts and resisting emotional biases. Trading itself is anti-human, requiring us to maintain clarity, objectivity, and discipline. Through recording and review, we can systematically examine the decision-making process, avoiding emotional pitfalls.

As previously mentioned, the sharp drop in US equities on Friday last week, and concerns regarding a potential “trade war 2.0,” have now settled as the market opened this Monday – essentially a “false alarm.”

For investors seeking to steadily progress in the Hong Kong stock market, success doesn’t stem from precisely predicting every fluctuation of the market, but rather from establishing a scientific, rational, and strictly adhered-to investment system. This system’s core consists of three pillars: reasonable position control, intelligent rebalancing strategies, and unwavering trading discipline. This article will consolidate these key elements to provide investors with a comprehensive and detailed operational guide.

Position Control – The Cornerstone of Resilient Investing

The primary goal of resilient investing is “to preserve capital and develop afterwards.” Position control serves as the “shield” to achieve this, determining your ability to withstand market volatility.

Previously, investors focused on financial news. Since Trump’s return, they also needed to pay attention to his Twitter (a private version). The trade war continued to escalate, leading to a sharp decline on April 7th, which was quickly followed by a rebound. This time, though, are people still willing to jump in?

Background Review

On April 7, 2025, following the impact of the U.S. implementation of an “equivalency tariff” policy, global stock markets experienced a “Black Monday.” The A-share market plunged, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 7.34% and the Shenzhen Component Index plummeting by 12.5%, with over 4,300 stocks declining by more than 9%. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong also fell by 13.22%, along with European and U.S. stock indices exceeding declines of 4%. China subsequently stabilized the market through state-owned enterprise (SOE) purchases and intervention by Huishang Securities.